Annotation of ttbar/p20_taujets_note/Systematics.tex, revision 1.1.1.1

1.1       uid12904    1: \newpage
                      2: \section{Systematic uncertainties}
                      3: 
                      4: Several factors contribute to systematic uncertainties in the measurement. Here we describe such uncertainties.
                      5: 
                      6: \subsection{JES}
                      7: 
                      8: \noindent The jet energy scale (JES) systematic is determined by shifiting the jet energy scale 
                      9: by $\pm 1 \sigma$ in all MC samples.
                     10: 
                     11: 
                     12: \subsection{TES}
                     13: 
                     14: \noindent The tau energy scale (TES) systematic is determined by shifiting the tau energy scale 
                     15: by its uncertainty as given in \cite{tes_sys}.
                     16: 
                     17: 
                     18: \subsection{Jet Energy Resolution and Jet ID}
                     19: 
                     20: \noindent The jet energy resolution (JER) systematic is determined by shifiting the jet energy 
                     21: resolution by $\pm 1 \sigma$ in all MC samples.
                     22: 
                     23: \subsection{Trigger}
                     24: \noindent Each event was corrected by the ratio of the actual and predicted trigger result as a function of $H_{T}$, which was
                     25: used based on the fact that the agreement varies as function of it. 
                     26: 
                     27: 
                     28: \subsection{b-quark fragmentation}
                     29: \noindent This uncertainty is estimated using the standard procedure described in \cite{bfrag} by reweighting $t\bar{t}$ events
                     30: using different fragmentation functions.
                     31: 
                     32: \subsection{\boldmath $b$-tagging}
                     33: 
                     34: \noindent b-tagging uncertainty effects are taken into account by varying the
                     35: systematic and statistical errors on the MC tagging weights.
                     36: 
                     37: These errors (which are computed using standard D\O\ b ID group tools) arise form several independent sources \cite{bID-p20}:
                     38: 
                     39: \begin{itemize}
                     40: \item B-jet tagging parameterization. 
                     41: \item C-jet tagging parameterization. 
                     42: \item Light jet tagging parameterization (negative tag rate).
                     43: %\item Systematic uncertainties on the scale factors $SF_{hf}$ and $SF_{ll}$
                     44: %are derived from the statistical error due to finite MC statistics. 
                     45: \item Semi-leptonic b-tagging efficiency parameterization in MC and in data
                     46: (System 8). 
                     47: \item Taggability. This includes the statistical error due to finite statistic
                     48: in the samples from which it had been derived and systematic, reflecting
                     49: the (neglected) taggability dependence on the jet multiplicity. 
                     50: \end{itemize}
                     51: 
                     52: 
                     53: \subsection{\boldmath $\tau$ ID systematics}
                     54: 
                     55: \noindent Here we include systematics associated to the NN cut (NN $>$ 0.90 for taus types 1 and 2 and NN $>$ 0.95 for taus type 3) 
                     56: applied to select hadronic taus. As recommended by the $\tau $-ID group
                     57: these systematics are 9.5\%, 3.5\% and 5.0\% for taus type 1, 2 and 3 respectively. However in this analysis we chose 
                     58: treat taus types 1 and 2 together. This led us to combine their uncertainties in the following way
                     59: 
                     60: \begin{center}
                     61: \begin{equation}
                     62: sys_{12} = \displaystyle \sqrt{\epsilon_{1}^{2}*f_{1}^{2} + \epsilon_{2}^{2}*f_{2}^{2}}
                     63: \end{equation}
                     64: \end{center}
                     65: 
                     66: \noindent where $\epsilon_{1}$ and $\epsilon_{2}$ are the $\tau$ ID efficiencies for taus types 1 and 2 respectively and 
                     67: $f_{1}$ and $f_{2}$ are the fractions of taus types 1 (0.16) and 2 (0.84) respectively.
                     68: 
                     69: 
                     70: \subsection{\label{sub:qcd_syst}QCD systematics}
                     71: As explained in the section \ref{sub:Variables} we use the control (b-veto) data set to 
                     72: validate our method of modeling the multijet background. Therefore we have to 
                     73: use the same sample to evaluate the associated uncertainties. The way it was 
                     74: done is by reweighting topological event NN for QCD template 
                     75: (``loose-tight'' $\tau$), so that it matches the one for ``tight'' $\tau$ data exactly 
                     76: (electroweak beckgrounds were subtracted). 
                     77: %Figure \ref{fig:qcd_reweight} shows that this scaling is close to 1, as it should be, since QCD template 
                     78: %models the QCD-dominated data very well. 
                     79: 
                     80: \subsection{W and Z scale factors}
                     81: We apply a ascale factor of 1.47 to both W + bb and W + cc events with an uncertainty of 15\%. At the same time a scales factors
                     82: of 1.52 and 1.67 are applied to Z + bb and Z + cc events, both with an uncertainty of 20\%.
                     83: 
                     84: 
                     85: \subsection{Template statistics}
                     86: When we performed the template fit to data (Section \ref{sub:NN}) the QCD template had limited statistics 
                     87: (1132 events for taus types 1 and 2 and 4487 events for taus type 3). We have to take the 
                     88: statistical uncertainty in this histogram as one of the cross section systematics. It was calculated by 
                     89: varying the content of each bin of the QCD template NN distribution within its uncertainty and observing 
                     90: how the cross section result changed.
                     91: 
                     92: \subsection{$t\bar{t}$ contamination in the loose-tight sample}
                     93: When measuring the cross-section we had to take into account the signal contamination in the loose-tight
                     94: sample we use to model QCD in the high NN region. The systematic uncertainty in this case
                     95: is calculated by varying the final assumed cross section by $\pm 1 \sigma$, re-estimating the signal contamination
                     96: and finally measuring the up and down values of the cross section.
                     97: 
                     98: \subsection{PDF}
                     99: Systematics on Parton Distribution Functions (PDF) are estimated by reweighting signal $t\bar{t}$ MC from
                    100: CTEQ6L1 to CTEQ6.1m and its twenty error PDF's. The reweighting of the PDF's is done by using {\tt caf\_pdfreweight}
                    101: package tool on Pythia $t\bar{t}$ MC. We then assigned the relative PDF uncertainty obtained with Pythia on the Alpgen
                    102: $t\bar{t}$ MC.
                    103: 
                    104: \subsection{Luminosity}
                    105: Here we take the D\O\ standard measured uncertainty on luminosity of 6.1$\%$ .
                    106: 
                    107: 
                    108: Tables \ref{cap:Syst1} and \ref{cap:Syst2} summarize all of these uncertainty sources and shows how the resulting cross section shifts.
                    109: 
                    110: %\clearpage
                    111: %
                    112: 
                    113: %\section{Summary \label{sec:summary}}
                    114: 
                    115: 
                    116: %
                    117: 
                    118: %\section{Summary \label{sec:summary}}
                    119: 
                    120: \begin{table}[h]
                    121: \caption{Systematic uncertainties on $\sigma(t\bar{t})$ (in pb) for NNelec $>$ 0.9.}
                    122: %\begin{ruledtabular}
                    123: {\footnotesize }\begin{tabular}{cccc}
                    124: \hline 
                    125: Channel&
                    126: {\footnotesize $\tau$+jets types 1 and 2 }&
                    127: {\footnotesize $\tau$+jets type 3 }&
                    128: {\footnotesize Combined }\\
                    129: {\footnotesize Tau Energy Scale }&
                    130: {\footnotesize $_{+0.068, -0.102}$ }&
                    131: {\footnotesize $_{+0.340, -0.306}$ }&
                    132: {\footnotesize $_{+0.136, -0.136}$ }\\
                    133: {\footnotesize Jet Energy Scale }&
                    134: {\footnotesize $_{+0.051, -0.034}$ }&
                    135: {\footnotesize $_{+0.051, -0.085}$ }&
                    136: {\footnotesize $_{+0.051, -0.000}$ }\\
                    137: {\footnotesize Jet Energy Resolution }&
                    138: {\footnotesize $_{+0.102, -0.051}$ }&
                    139: {\footnotesize $_{+0.204, -0.034}$ }&
                    140: {\footnotesize $_{+0.119, -0.052}$ }\\
                    141: {\footnotesize Jet ID }&
                    142: {\footnotesize $_{+0.204, -0.204}$ }&
                    143: {\footnotesize $_{+0.153, -0.153}$ }&
                    144: {\footnotesize $_{+0.204, -0.204}$ }\\
                    145: {\footnotesize b-tag }&
                    146: {\footnotesize $_{+0.562, -0.493}$ }&
                    147: {\footnotesize $_{+0.493, -0.426}$ }&
                    148: {\footnotesize $_{+0.544, -0.477}$ }\\
                    149: {\footnotesize b-fragmentation }&
                    150: {\footnotesize $_{+0.102, -0.102}$ }&
                    151: {\footnotesize $_{+0.068, -0.068}$ }&
                    152: {\footnotesize $_{+0.085, -0.085}$ }\\
                    153: {\footnotesize QCD Modeling }&
                    154: {\footnotesize $_{+0.340, -0.340}$ }&
                    155: {\footnotesize $_{+0.221, -0.221}$ }&
                    156: {\footnotesize $_{+0.324, -0.305}$ }\\
                    157: {\footnotesize $\tau$ ID }&
                    158: {\footnotesize $_{+0.272, -0.272}$ }&
                    159: {\footnotesize $_{+0.306, -0.306}$ }&
                    160: {\footnotesize $_{+0.290, -0.290}$ }\\
                    161: {\footnotesize Trigger }&
                    162: {\footnotesize $_{+0.256, -0.256}$ }&
                    163: {\footnotesize $_{+0.238, -0.238}$ }&
                    164: {\footnotesize $_{+0.256, -0.256}$ }\\
                    165: %{\footnotesize $\tau$ triggering }&
                    166: %{\footnotesize $_{+xxxx, -xxxx}$ }&
                    167: %{\footnotesize $_{+xxxx, -xxxx}$ }&
                    168: %{\footnotesize $_{+xxxx, -xxxx}$ }\\
                    169: {\footnotesize W Scale Factor }&
                    170: {\footnotesize $_{+0.034, -0.034}$ }&
                    171: {\footnotesize $_{+0.034, -0.034}$ }&
                    172: {\footnotesize $_{+0.034, -0.034}$ }\\
                    173: {\footnotesize Z Scale Factor }&
                    174: {\footnotesize $_{+0.072, -0.072}$ }&
                    175: {\footnotesize $_{+0.072, -0.072}$ }&
                    176: {\footnotesize $_{+0.048, -0.048}$ }\\
                    177: {\footnotesize Template statistics }&
                    178: {\footnotesize $_{+0.156, -0.156}$ }&
                    179: {\footnotesize $_{+0.204, -0.204}$ }&
                    180: {\footnotesize $_{+0.168, -0.168}$ }\\
                    181: {\footnotesize Signal contamination}&
                    182: {\footnotesize $_{+0.153, -0.153}$ }&
                    183: {\footnotesize $_{+0.255, -0.272}$ }&
                    184: {\footnotesize $_{+0.188, -0.170}$ }\\
                    185: {\footnotesize PDF }&
                    186: {\footnotesize $_{+0.097, -0.084}$ }&
                    187: {\footnotesize $_{+0.188, -0.198}$ }&
                    188: {\footnotesize $_{+0.092, -0.081}$ }\\
                    189: 
                    190: \end{tabular}{\footnotesize \par}
                    191: %\end{ruledtabular}
                    192: \label{cap:Syst1} 
                    193: \end{table}
                    194: 
                    195: 
                    196: \begin{table}[h]
                    197: \caption{Systematic uncertainties on $\sigma(t\bar{t})$ (in pb) when no NNelec cut is applied.}
                    198: %\begin{ruledtabular}
                    199: {\footnotesize }\begin{tabular}{cccc}
                    200: \hline 
                    201: Channel&
                    202: {\footnotesize $\tau$+jets types 1 and 2 }&
                    203: {\footnotesize $\tau$+jets type 3 }&
                    204: {\footnotesize Combined }\\
                    205: {\footnotesize Tau Energy Scale }&
                    206: {\footnotesize $_{+0.101, -0.002}$ }&
                    207: {\footnotesize $_{+0.238, -0.255}$ }&
                    208: {\footnotesize $_{+0.102, -0.017}$ }\\
                    209: {\footnotesize Jet Energy Scale }&
                    210: {\footnotesize $_{+0.016, -0.001}$ }&
                    211: {\footnotesize $_{+0.017, -0.000}$ }&
                    212: {\footnotesize $_{+0.016, -0.000}$ }\\
                    213: {\footnotesize Jet Energy Resolution }&
                    214: {\footnotesize $_{+0.084, -0.086}$ }&
                    215: {\footnotesize $_{+0.017, -0.034}$ }&
                    216: {\footnotesize $_{+0.068, -0.085}$ }\\
                    217: {\footnotesize Jet ID }&
                    218: {\footnotesize $_{+0.169, -0.169}$ }&
                    219: {\footnotesize $_{+0.017, -0.017}$ }&
                    220: {\footnotesize $_{+0.153, -0.153}$ }\\
                    221: {\footnotesize b-tag }&
                    222: {\footnotesize $_{+0.424, -0.375}$ }&
                    223: {\footnotesize $_{+0.358, -0.306}$ }&
                    224: {\footnotesize $_{+0.425, -0.375}$ }\\
                    225: {\footnotesize b-fragmentation }&
                    226: {\footnotesize $_{+0.069, -0.069}$ }&
                    227: {\footnotesize $_{+0.102, -0.102}$ }&
                    228: {\footnotesize $_{+0.068, -0.068}$ }\\
                    229: {\footnotesize QCD Modeling }&
                    230: {\footnotesize $_{+0.271, -0.273}$ }&
                    231: {\footnotesize $_{+0.153, -0.136}$ }&
                    232: {\footnotesize $_{+0.225, -0.256}$ }\\
                    233: {\footnotesize $\tau$ ID }&
                    234: {\footnotesize $_{+0.220, -0.220}$ }&
                    235: {\footnotesize $_{+0.204, -0.204}$ }&
                    236: {\footnotesize $_{+0.221, -0.221}$ }\\
                    237: {\footnotesize Trigger }&
                    238: {\footnotesize $_{+0.204, -0.204}$ }&
                    239: {\footnotesize $_{+0.170, -0.170}$ }&
                    240: {\footnotesize $_{+0.204, -0.204}$ }\\
                    241: %{\footnotesize $\tau$ triggering }&
                    242: %{\footnotesize $_{+xxxx, -xxxx}$ }&
                    243: %{\footnotesize $_{+xxxx, -xxxx}$ }&
                    244: %{\footnotesize $_{+xxxx, -xxxx}$ }\\
                    245: {\footnotesize W Scale Factor }&
                    246: {\footnotesize $_{+0.034, -0.034}$ }&
                    247: {\footnotesize $_{+0.034, -0.034}$ }&
                    248: {\footnotesize $_{+0.034, -0.034}$ }\\
                    249: {\footnotesize Z Scale Factor }&
                    250: {\footnotesize $_{+0.072, -0.072}$ }&
                    251: {\footnotesize $_{+0.072, -0.072}$ }&
                    252: {\footnotesize $_{+0.048, -0.048}$ }\\
                    253: {\footnotesize Template statistics }&
                    254: {\footnotesize $_{+0.118, -0.118}$ }&
                    255: {\footnotesize $_{+0.170, -0.170}$ }&
                    256: {\footnotesize $_{+0.102, -0.102}$ }\\
                    257: {\footnotesize Signal contamination}&
                    258: {\footnotesize $_{+0.050, -0.052}$ }&
                    259: {\footnotesize $_{+0.136, -0.187}$ }&
                    260: {\footnotesize $_{+0.051, -0.051}$ }\\
                    261: {\footnotesize PDF }&
                    262: {\footnotesize $_{+0.097, -0.084}$ }&
                    263: {\footnotesize $_{+0.188, -0.198}$ }&
                    264: {\footnotesize $_{+0.092, -0.081}$ }\\
                    265: 
                    266: \end{tabular}{\footnotesize \par}
                    267: %\end{ruledtabular}
                    268: \label{cap:Syst2} 
                    269: \end{table}
                    270: 
                    271: 
                    272: 
                    273: \clearpage

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